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Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb — seasoned trader, renowned risk expert, knowledgeable scholar, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan — has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck — or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most notable forum in which luck is mistaken for skill — the world of trading — Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with a number of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own irrational foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed —the lucky foolwho happens to be in the right place at the right time — he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their mentor's (导师) insights and methods. But no one can copy what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan (冒充内行的人) from the genuine innovator? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the unpredictability of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

AMHS International Dinner FAQs

Saturday, November 5,6-8pm

What is this event?

International dinner is a celebration of culture and diversity within the Magnet community, complete with entertainment from some of Magnet's talented musicians thanks to Mr. Grimshaw!

Who can participate?

Made for all to attend as a community building event.

What does the canteen provide?

The canteen provides the tables, plateware, chafing dishes (保暖锅), serving pans, drinks and gloves. $75.00 will be offered per table to help offset (补偿) food costs.

What do I (or my team) have to provide?

The table for each country (which can be one person or a few people working together) will have to pick a country and provide 2-4 dishes from that country. The dishes should each be made to serve 150 small sample size portions. The pans provided will fit neatly into chafing dishes. Please also bring your own serving containers and any decorations that might enhance the table. Examples would be tablecloths from the country or a small flag from the represented country.

When do I bring the food?

The food should be brought hot (if to be served hot) the night of between 4:45-5:00pm.

Who can volunteer?

Anyone can volunteer — students, parents, supporters. Students can volunteer and will be used as servers and clean up the night of and for set up on Friday, November 4 (3:45-5:30pm). Our biggest need is for people to take a table and bring food for that table. Sign up here.

What is the ticket price?

Ticket price is $15.00 per person or $40.00 for a family.

Questions? email amhsinternationaldinner@gmail.com

AMHS= Academic Magnet High School       FAQs= frequently asked questions

For twelve years, I had worked at the hospital. One day, they informed me that I was no longer needed. I knew it was a cost-cutting measure to replace me with someone less experienced and lower-paid, yet the pain of feeling useless remained.

When I was sad and worried about my future, a fellow health educator at another hospital shared, "I've just learned the most helpful tool. No matter what the situation is, there is an opposite, a benefit. Our typical response is to focus on the losses of jobs, marriage, home, or even health. Instead, we should concentrate on finding what we gained with our loss."

At first, I resisted her advice. I was so focused on my job that I forgot my dream of traveling around the world in a trailer (拖车) and all the things I wanted to do when I was busy. I only yearned (渴望) to get my job back, missing my office, coworkers, and the routine, as well as the meaningful challenges of organizing health education classes for sick people.

But as time went by, I grew tired of my sorrow and loneliness. I decided to try my friendˈs advice and seek some opposites. The opposite of loneliness being friendship, I called Lucy, a kind-hearted neighbor. I asked if she would like to take an exercise class with me and started to develop a friendship with her. Soon, we became good friends, often going shopping together and taking a walk every day.

Then one day, Lucy invited me to go to Mali, West Africa, to volunteer there. It was a poor area where people lived in mud huts without modern conveniences. However, the villagers seemed content.

注意：

(1)续写词数应为150左右；

(2)请按如下格式在答题卡的相应位置作答。

When volunteering there, I helped the villagers and also got helped.

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Returning home with a different perspective, I decided to make a change.

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1. 活动目的；

2. 活动内容；

3. 活动反响。

注意：

1. 写作词数应为80左右；

2. 请按如下格式在答题卡的相应位置作答。

A Memorable Campus Environmental Protection Day

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What makes a family a family is subjective, but one thing is(powerful) than any definition, and that's love.

After Rick Baldwin and his wife Keia Jones-Baldwin of Kernersville, got married, they came to the difficult(realize) that a biological baby wasn't in the cards for their family. In 2015 the Jones-Baldwin family started opening their doors to children may never have experienced real parental love. They(adopt) some of the kids since the family welcomed six kids.

Their first adoptee was Ayden, 8-year-old boy who lived with them for two years before they(official) made him a Jones-Baldwin. Princeton, a white newborn, was only supposed to be with them for a couple months but also ended up(stay) for two years before he joined the excited family. Keia started a platform(call) Raising Cultures, where she shares her experiences as a mom through (video), pictures, and other resources.

On a larger scale, Keia's work with Raising Cultures serves a reminder to world that when it comes to family, "Love is color-blind."

The family's first days in the new city were filled with3. Later, they temporarily relied on the kindness of strangers and the food from local4. The children,5 to the difficult situation, often went to bed hungry, but their parents never let them feel6 in their struggles.

One day, a kind-hearted neighbor offered them a warm meal. This simple act of7 brought tears to the parents' eyes and a sense of hope to the family. The neighbor8 others to support the family with clothes, toys, and even tutoring for the children.

As time passed, the parents worked tirelessly to learn the language and9 stable employment. The father,10 with a natural ability in mechanics, found work at a local garage, while the mother began working as a cleaner. The children, inspired by their parents11 adapted to their new environment.

Finally, the family's living conditions12, and they moved into a small but cozy apartment. The walls were covered with paintings drawn by the children. Each one was a (n)13 of their hope for a better future. The parents, who overcame their initial14, often reflect on the generosity of strangers and the15 of the community.

You want to learn, you want to listen to your teacher, and you want to absorb all of that information in class — but it can be hard to focus on a lecture when your mind wanders. So staying focused in class is essential for effective learning. Here are some tips to help you pay attention in class.

Remove distractions. If you want to concentrate in class, start by removing distractions. Physical removal is the best way to deal with distractions. Or if you have a habit of using your phone, keep it in your locker.

Prepare before class. Look over your homework, read your textbook, or review previous notes. This will get your brain into "class mode" and help you focus. Additionally, set up your desk or workspace before class and make sure you have everything you need.

Sit in the front of the class. Studies show that students who sit in the front generally have better grades. Avoid sitting with friends if you're not tempted to talk. Sitting in the front allows you to keep an eye on the teacher and board.

Participate in Class. Contributing to the lesson by asking and answering questions can keep you engaged. It also signals to the teacher that you're trying to pay attention. Write down important parts of the lesson and use different colors or a highlighter to make key points stand out. You can also reorganize it after class for further research.

Focus on the present moment and avoid daydreaming. If your mind wanders, refocus on the lesson. Create your own motivation by finding personal connections, interesting facts, or setting small goals. Reward yourself after completing tasks. Practice paying attention through activities like meditation. If you're struggling, talk to your teachers. They can offer personalized solutions.

Taking care of your body. Getting enough sleep is crucial. Aim for 8 to 12 hours for optimal focus. Have a healthy diet with foods like leafy greens, fatty fish, berries, and nuts. Drink plenty of water and avoid caffeine and sugary drinks. Exercise can relieve tension and improve concentration. Try to be active between classes or during breaks.

A. Practice paying attention.

B. Adjust your thought patterns.

C. If your mind wanders, focus on the lesson.

D. Taking notes is another great way to focus.

E. This can help you stay organized and ready to learn.

F. A better environment can help you focus more on the lesson.

G. If you know a classmate is distracting you, try sitting somewhere else.

Research reveals chatbots frequently outperform humans in empathy (同理心). A 2023 study found 80% of patients preferred chatbots' response to doctors' advice. Similarly, a 2024 experiment showed even when humans were paid to create thoughtful replies, they still fell short of ChatGPT's sympathy.

The secret to the chatbots' success lies in mistakes humans make. When humans see someone in pain, we often share personal stories ("I've struggled too") or rush to give advice ("Do this!"). While well-meaning, rushing to share opinions can minimize someone's pain, and shifting the focus to ourselves weakens hope to be heard. Chatbots, however, avoid these errors. Without personal experiences or urgency to solve problems, they focus entirely on the speaker. In a 2024 study, Microsoft's Bing Chat scored higher than humans by using a three-step method: explaining people's struggles, acknowledging and justifying how they might feel, and asking follow-up questions.

Humans can also adopt similar strategies like "looping for understanding"—repeating others' words in their own terms and checking correctness ("Do I have that right?"). Chatbots are natural loopers, and when humans learn it, they better understand others' emotions and make them feel heard. These skills extend beyond strengthening family and friend bonds: dozens of studies show managers and employers using such methods tend to have more loyal, effective, and productive employees.

Despite AI's impressive listening skills, it has limits. Chatbots repeat formulaic (公式化的) responses ("I hear you") that feel robotic over time. They can't feel or truly care for us, and studies show most human beings still want to engage with other humans. Some of the bugs of human connection are also, in fact, features. Chatbots can't roll their eyes or leave our texts unanswered. But the fact that we often must earn human empathy, and that it comes from limited beings who sacrifice (牺牲) to be there for us, is part of its beauty.

Wherever they began, sled races quickly became popular. The famous Cresta Run, named after the Swiss town near the base of its course, was built in 1885 using snowbanks. The first organized competition was in 1898, hosted by the first bobsled club in nearby St.Moritz (a city in Switzerland). It was then that sledding began to separate from the luge to include two new sports: bob sledding, and skeleton sledding (俯式雪橇).

Cresta Run is considered the birthplace of the skeleton, a particularly daring form of sledding. Unlike the luge, where competitors ride feet-first on a sled with metal runners, the skeleton sledding is a steel sled with a slim appearance. Riders lie down on the sled headfirst, then drop suddenly down an ice track. Bobsledding, meanwhile, involves teams of two to four in which the person in front controls directions and the player in back brakes when needed. It earned its name after competitors started swinging back and forth to speed up the sled.

Bobsledding initially overtook skeleton sledding in popularity, becoming one of a handful of sports played at the first Winter Games in 1924. The skeleton sledding was limited to the Cresta Run for decades because other bob runs around the world were not built for the steel skeleton sled. But in the 1970s, adjustments were made to both the skeleton and bob runs in order to include the event at future winter games.

Walsh believes the videos gained popularity because she is 75. "It's because I'm a senior," said Walsh. "You don't usually see someone my age doing hip-hop and moving like that." But actually, it's more than that. Just as her profile claims, Walsh's videos are "inspiring the world to dance like no one is watching".

"Dance isn't just your body, it's what you're feeling inside about the dance and it's what comes out here in your face," Walsh said. "What I want to put through my movement is how much fun it is and how much joy it gives you."

From a young age, Walsh loved to dance but her family didn't have the money for classes. When she was nearly 30, she got her daughter ballet lessons, which her daughter hated. So, she took her daughter out and started classes herself right away.

Walsh believes her lifelong passion for dance is what motivates her today. "Everybody has to have a passion in their life," she said. "It's like that saying, ‘A life without passion is a life half lived.' I believe that."

Walsh dances for fun and fitness, but also for therapy (心理治疗). She struggled through countless hardships, and she has more than enough reasons to keep her down. But they don't. She turns to her faith, her friends and of course, dance, to shine as an inspiration to those around her.

Gilbert, one of Walsh's followers, says she inspires him every day. "She's a beautiful soul who teaches me that it doesn't matter about your age or your size. As long as you feel good, that's all that matters," says Gilbert. "I am truly thankful that Walsh is teaching me at the age of 32 to live my life full and stop being so scared."

The London Eye       (Tickets from £24.50)

Explore London from above on the London Eye. Your ticket includes a 30-minute flight with breathtaking views over London as well as an amazing 4D experience. Book ahead to save money and skip most of the queues with a fast-track entry ticket.

Tower of London       (Tickets from £25)

Hear the many stories of the Tower of London on a Yeoman Warder (Beefeater) tour. See the famous Crown Jewels, the White Tower and find out what it was like to be a prisoner in the Tower of London.

Kidzania London       (Tickets from £18.50)

Test out a range of professions and activities including journalism, animal care, cabin crew and tour guiding at KidZania London. Work to earn KidZos and save them for next time or spend them in the Airport Shop. Great for kids to learn and have fun.

The Royal Observatory Greenwich       (Tickets from £16)

Visit the home of time and explore outer space at the Royal Observatory in Greenwich. See and stand astride the Prime Meridian line (子午线), the reference point for Greenwich Mean Time. Learn about the history of longitude (经线), touch a piece of rock from outer space, and enjoy amazing views over London.

Coronavirus information: London is currently subject to a four-week national lockdown from 5 November, which means attractions are temporarily closed. You can still book tickets in advance ready for when they reopen with social distancing and other safety measures in place. Cycle or walk to these attractions where possible.

The first time we set eyes on the beautiful dress "big Red."father, mother and I were walking slowly through the freshly fallen snow on our way to Hubble's Hardware store on Main Street.

The colorfully decorated window display held the best toys ever and some other things. And hey were all placed pleasantly beneath   the breathtaking dress of Big Red. Mother's   eyes were glued to the massive flame of red satin(绸缎)，dotted with twinkling stars.

"My goodness,"she managed to say in dreamlike wonder."Would you just look at that dress!"Then,totally out of character, mother unexpectedly danced on the slippery sidewalk. Beneath the heavy,grey wool coat that she had worm every winter for as long as I could remember,mother lost her balance and fell clumsily. Father quickly caught her.

Her cheeks redder than usual, mother blamed dad for laughing."Oh,stop that!" she ordered, as my father swept the snow from her coat."What a silly dress to be displayed there in the window of Eaton's!" she shook her head in disbelief. "Who on earth would want such a brightly-colored dress? It is too expensive."As we continued to walk down the street, mother turned back for one more look."My goodness! You'd think they'd display something that a person could use!"

Christmas was around the corner and the red dress was soon forgotten.Mother was not the one to wish for, or spend money on,things that were not practical."There are things we need more than this,"she'd always say, or,"There are things we need more than that."

Father,on the other hand, liked to buy things whenever the budget allowed. Of course,he'd get a scolding for his occasional spending like this,but it was all done with the best intention.

On our last trip to town before Christmas,we were driving up Main Street when mother suddenly exclaimed in surprise, "Would you just look at that!"She pointed excitedly as Dad drove past Eaton's."That big red dress is gone," she said in disbelief. "It's actually gone."

注意：

1.续写词数应为150左右；

2.请在答题卡的相应位置作答。

Dad looked quickly and smiled,"Yes,it is not there!"

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I'll never forget that Christmas morning when father handed mother a box.

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1.软件使用情况描述；

2.分析该现象的原因；

3.简要谈谈你的看法。

注意：

1.词数80左右；

2.短文开头已为你写好，不计入总词数。

As is shown in the survey conducted by our school's English newspaper,

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To become a good journalist, there are a couple of things you should put on your list of(priority). Firstly, you need to be skilled at writing. The information(involve) in a complex story may come from dozens of sources. Good journalists need to organize all this information clearly to give accurate account of what is happening. Secondly, you must have a natural curiosity about things that(happen), even though they may appear to be minor matters. When something newsworthy comes, it may escape the attention of ordinary people;, good journalists are sensitive enough(notice) the event and draw public attention to it. Finally, good journalists are committed to revealing the truth. To do this, journalists need to investigate an event(thorough).

To sum up, being a good journalist(require) writing skills, curiosity and(commit) to finding the truth.

That summer afternoon, Mom was1 vegetables when she handed me a yellowed paper. "Take this to Grandma," she instructed, her phone pressed to her ear. Unfolding the2 paper, I saw stained cursive writing I couldn't3.

I pocketed it and walked to Grandma Edith's house. The4 air felt heavy, and cicadas (蝉) sang in the trees. Her car was gone. Finding a slightly open window, I5 the paper inside onto the couch and left.

At dinner, Mom asked where I'd gone. "Grandma's?" I replied. Her face6. "You walked to Edith's? I meant take the7 to Oma Ruth!" My stomach dropped. Oma Ruth (Mom's mother) and Grandma Edith (Dad's mom) were8. This9 bread recipe was precious.

"She wasn't home! I slid it through her window!" Dad checked his watch: "She'll be10 bingo soon, and we only have about 15 minutes." Mom and I shared a11 look. We raced to Edith's,12 through stop signs.

"13 natural. Get that recipe," Mom said urgently. Inside, I searched the living room.

14, I found it under a small table just as Edith saw me kneeling. Her cat15 against me. "Just petting the cat!" I lied quickly.

Back in the car, we slumped with relief. When Mom laughed instead of scolding me, I knew we'd survived our secret mission.

· Gear to Buy: Must-Have Essentials for Urban Kayaking

Get in a well-made kayak that you can easily carry and quickly assemble in minutes. Look for models specifically designed for urban exploration and navigating urban waters. Always wear a comfortable and properly fitting Coast Guard-Approved PFD while kayaking. . Choose a reliable kayak paddle that suits your height and paddling style. . Protect your phone, wallet and other items from getting wet with a secure waterproof bag. Urban kayaking allows you to escape the rat race while still being "connected" if necessary.

·

Before hitting the urban waters, research the water bodies and navigable canals in your city. Look for kayaking-friendly areas that offer safety, access points, and scenic routes. Secondly,

. Make sure to avoid any legal issues before you paddle. For beginners, it's best to start with short paddling trips to get familiar with urban water conditions and kayak handling. Gradually increase the duration as you gain confidence.

A. Places to Go: Exploring City Waterways

B. Here's how to start urban kayaking safely

C. Check local rules — some waterways require permits

D. Bring a spare paddle in case of any unforeseen issues

E. Safety preparations: getting started for Urban Kayaking

F. Safety matters, whether in remote waters or city waterways

G. Plus, we answer frequently asked questions about paddling in the city

"Our core philosophy is creating a boundless classroom in nature," states Mo Xiaohua, Kaisen Tribe Operations Lead. The project embraces forest-style education and community growth, aligning (使一致) with Wangjiangjing's vision for canal-themed experiential learning and cultural tourism as a new family destination.

The Grand Canal, which long shaped the town's identity, saw its bustling past fade with modernization. Renewed national focus on canal preservation drives local efforts to repurpose idle resources.

Guided by green development principles, the project revived an abandoned village. Designers integrated playgrounds, fishponds, farms, and paddies into existing forests, fields, and ponds, achieving ecological transformation. This draws up to 10,000 visitors on peak days, with plans for more uniquely themed hotel rooms.

Kaisen Tribe is part of the Jiaxing Grand Canal Culture & Tourism Resort. "The goal is a living community, not an untouchable museum," says Shen Tao, a resort official. Since 2018, the resort has pursued "heritage-first" development, rooted in its UNESCO status — including the Ming Dynasty Changhong Bridge. Eleven large lakes shape the classic Jiangnan water town landscape and traditions like lotus cultivation.

Historic repurposing is key: A 1960s granary (谷仓) complex now houses a café and cultural space, preserving its architecture. Another granary hosts a digital hub with VR and performances. A reconstructed steam locomotive (火车头) from the historic Suzhou-Jiaxing Railway (1936-1944) serves as a visitor center and patriotic site near wartime bunkers (碉堡).

Unique attractions like reptile museums, concrete pipe rooms, rice field tours, and animal encounters appeal strongly to younger travelers seeking social media moments. Future plans include expanding night tourism, enhancing digital integration, and developing a youth soccer training base for sports tourism.

In that instant, the classroom walls of Mengla No. 1 High School seemed to glow. The pain and weariness didn't vanish, but something warmer — a shared kindness — rose to meet it. This quiet moment defined Wang's year as a volunteer teacher in rural Yunnan.

Wang, 22, graduated from the University of International Business and Economics in Beijing with degrees in Chinese literature and international economics. Yet her true passion was service. Guided by her motto — "When poor, cultivate yourself; when successful, help the world" — she led campus volunteer groups and launched online literacy projects. When she applied for the competitive "Go West" Postgraduate Education Supporting Program (only 21 chosen yearly from 50 applicants), her experience shone. She earned her place.

Now, far from her coastal hometown of Quanzhou, Wang teaches in mountainous Mengla County. Her classroom holds not just textbooks, but trust. The student's note wasn't just comfort; it was a reflection of the connection Wang builds daily.

"People might imagine rural teaching means just giving lessons," Wang might say. "But it's more. It's showing up, even when it's hard. It's seeing their struggles, and letting them see yours. That note? That was sunshine returned."

Wang understands her role transcends (超越) academics. In Mengla, she cultivates hope — one warm patch, one quiet word of sunshine at a time.

These limited-edition publications bring you the newest research and excavation updates unique to each of these iconic archaeological sites (标志性考古遗址).

UNCOVERING TROY—Twenty Years as a UNESCO World Heritage Site

Troy is one of the best-known sites in the ancient world. During the Bronze Age, nearly 3,500 years ago, this was the location of the Trojan War, the famous battle described by the ancient Greek poet Homer. This exciting volume provides an overview of Troy's history and of the significant finds made by archaeologists (考古学家) who have worked there since it was discovered in 1871.

UNCOVERING PYLOS—A Look at the Heart of Archaeological History and Discoveries at the Greek World's next Preserved Mycenaean Palace

Like Troy, the ancient site of Pylos figures in the Trojan War as the home of the famous king Nestor, whose palace was discovered there nearly a century ago. Since then, archaeologists have worked to uncover extraordinary architecture and artifacts (史前古器物) of the Mycenaean age, including the impressive tomb of the Griffin Warrior, whose riches are revealed in these pages.

UNCOVERING EASTER ISLAND—An ancient site and the world's most recent archaeological focus

On this remote Pacific island, beginning about 1,000 years ago, Indigenous (土著的) people carved the enormous stone moai. Read about how these ingenious artists created and moved the immense (巨大的) statues, theories of what may have happened to the island's ancient inhabitants, and how today's Rapanui people are embracing these extremely impressive monuments of their past.

We're now offering special bundles (束) of our Uncovering Series — receive one, two, or all three editions with this special offer:

• Uncovering Easter Island for a minimum donation of $35

• Any two Uncovering publications for a minimum donation of $45

• All three Uncovering publications for a minimum donation of $75

Make a gift today at archaeological.org/donate to receive your copies!

1.表示欢迎；

2.提供建议；

3.表达祝愿。

注意：

1.写作词数应为80左右；

2.请按如下格式在答题卡的相应位置作答。

Dear Mike,

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Yours sincerely,

Li Hua